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I think the Syrian example is the best and most recent or many that have played out in history. Initially the Military and LEO's will follow orders without question. As things get worse first individuals will object / defect, then whole units. But that wont change the fact that the ones that remain will have the firepower. Then things will deteriorate to local "war lords" / bases of power as people band together to survive.
My friends and I are very well trained / equipped shooters. We're rockstars against thugs, grunts and run of the mill LEO's. Against a coordinated military unit, (even squad or platoon level) the SWAT team or SF, we're DEAD. The only saving grace is that there would be easier pickin's for them and they'd go away. I'm not paranoid or anti gov. but they are the only ones I truly fear in a SHTF scenario. Especially if you're a trusting law abiding citizen like the ones in the video. They will take away your protection and you will do their bidding at the business end of a gun. Maybe with your own gun.
Whenever anyone worries about gangs I always ask them "what do you think will happen when the local SWAT teams paychecks stop and they can't feed their families?" I almost always get a glazed over OH **** stare. You can replace SWAT with any gov. agency and give it some thought.
I love the idea that "grunts" are just mindless automatons.
I am sure they had rather be in Iraq or Afghanistan than having to walk around your neighborhood. I wouldn't point a weapon in their direction though. You are more likely to get shot by a cop than a soldier or a marine. Troops are use to everyone having AK-47s cops are not.
Can you please enlighten us on what "SHTF" will be?